The Findings of GAMAAN’s Survey on Political Attitudes of Iranians

The English version of the full report of the Gamaan’s survey on «Political Attitudes of Iranians» can be downloaded from the following link

GAMAAN-Political Attitudes of Iranians-2018-Full Report-English Version

Summary of the Findings

More than 19,000 individuals participated in this survey. This survey reveals the political attitudes of 72% of Iranians, those who did not vote for Ebrahim Raisi in Iran’s 2017 presidential election. The survey tries to systematically measure and capture some of the political attitudes that Iranians cannot freely express in Iran
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At least 70% of Iranians would vote “NO” to Islamic Republic if a free referendum were to be held today
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On the question of which political orientation they most identify with, 37.8% said they would want the regime to be toppled (Overthrowers), 30.6% stated they would seek radical changes (Transformists) while only 3.6% identified as Reformists who emphasize on preserving the current Islamic Republic regime
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On the question of which political system is most appropriate for Iran, 42% of Iranians would favour a secular republic whereas 15% were proponents of constitutional monarchy
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At least 25% of Iranians would favour the establishment of a federal system for the future of Iran, while 33% said that they do not have enough information to state an opinion on whether a unitary or federal form of state would be better
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Amongst 17 figures renowned for political or civil rights activity, Reza Pahlavi enjoys the highest popularity with 37.9%. He is followed by Nasrin Sotoudeh with 8.1%, whereas Mir Hossein Moussavi obtains 4.6% popularity
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Although almost 38% of Iranians would give a chance to Reza Pahlavi, only 15% of Iranians would favour a constitutional monarchy. It could be deduced that support for Reza Pahlavi does not necessarily translate for support for monarchy
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43% of those who voted for Rouhani in 2017 presidential election would consider themselves as Overthrowers (seeking regime change); 50% of them are Transformists (seeking radical changes and a free referendum). Only 7% of them identified as Reformists (i.e., preserving the Islamic Republic). Based on these findings it is important to realize that voting for Rouhani cannot necessarily be translated to a Yes vote to Islamic Republic regime
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On the question of (symbolic) political parties in a free election, a monarchist party would garner 20.1% of the votes. A social democratic party would receive 16.3% whereas Jebheyeh Melli (The National Front) would get 8.3% of the votes. It seems that no single party or political ideology enjoys the majority amongst Iranians

 

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