
The English version of the Gamaan’s survey report on «The Islamic Republic: Yes or No?» can be downloaded from the following link
GAMAAN-referendum-survey report-English-2019
More than 204 thousand Iranians have responded to this survey, 180 thousand of whom stated to be inside Iran. The findings of this report reflect the views of literate people over 19 years old in Iran (equivalent to 85% of eligible voters); the results can be attributed to this population with a 95% confidence level. The survey is an attempt to systematically measure and record the legitimacy of the Islamic Republic as a form of government, according to Iranians and in an environment where these questions cannot be publicly asked
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About 79% said that in a free referendum they would vote NO to the Islamic Republic
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About 71% said that they would vote NO to the Islamic Republic regardless of context, 18% would vote YES to the Islamic Republic in any situation, and 11% stated that they prefer the continuation of the status quo and vote YES to the Islamic Republic until an alternative regime does not appear as an option
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About 68% stated that they do not intend to vote in the parliamentary elections (Islamic Consultative Assembly) of March 2020, while 18% said that they will participate in the elections. Approximately 14% said they haven’t decided yet
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The results reveal that 35% of those who voted for Raisi and 96% of those who voted for Rouhani in the 2017 presidential elections would say NO to the Islamic Republic in a free referendum. In other words, 65% of Raisi’s voters and 4% of Rouhani’s voters in the 2017 presidential elections would say YES to the Islamic Republic in a free referendum